Tuesday, 22 July 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Oil steady after drop on US economic contraction, possible Saudi supply rise
Thursday, 1 May 2025 15:25 WIB | OIL |Oil,

Oil prices steadied on Thursday a day after a steep decline triggered by signs that Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter, may raise output and data showing a contraction in the economy of the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer.

Brent crude futures fell 6 cents, or 0.1%, to $61 a barrel as at 0730 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 12 cents or 0.2%, to $58.09. WTI closed at its lowest since March 2021 on Wednesday.

"In the near term, the path of least resistance remains tilted to the downside," said Sugandha Sachdeva, founder of SS WealthStreet, a New Delhi-based research firm.

"The dual impact of deteriorating demand and looming supply expansion has created a pessimistic outlook for crude, with Brent crude appearing vulnerable to test $55 per barrel," Sachdeva said.

Saudi Arabia is telling allies and industry experts that it is unwilling to prop up the oil market with supply cuts and can manage a prolonged period of low prices, sources told Reuters.

Several OPEC+ members will suggest the group accelerates output hikes in June for a second consecutive month, three people familiar with OPEC+ talks have said. Eight OPEC+ countries will meet on May 5 to decide a June output plan.

Advertisement · Scroll to continue

"Any surprise in the pace or scale of production adjustments could significantly influence volatility in the sessions ahead," Sachdeva said.

The U.S. economy contracted for the first time in three years in the first quarter, swamped by a flood of imports as businesses raced to avoid higher costs from tariffs and underscoring the disruptive nature of President Donald Trump's often chaotic trade policy.

Trump's tariffs have made it probable the global economy will slip into recession this year, a Reuters poll suggested.

A demand outlook clouded by trade disputes coupled with an OPEC+ decision to increase supply will weigh on oil prices this year, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

Analytics firm Kpler has revised its 2025 global oil demand growth forecast to 640,000 barrels per day from 800,000 bpd, citing rising Sino-U.S. trade tension and weak Indian demand.

A survey of 40 economists and analysts in April projected Brent crude to average $68.98 a barrel in 2025, versus March's estimate of $72.94. They expect U.S. crude to average $65.08 a barrel rather than $69.16 seen last month.

U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell by 2.7 million barrels last week on higher export and refinery demand, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. That compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 429,000 barrel rise.

Source: Reuters

RELATED NEWS
US-EU Tensions Drag Oil Prices Down...
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 11:08 WIB

Oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday morning as concerns about a trade war between the United States and the European Union resurfaced, fueling fears of a decline in fuel demand. These tensions weighed ...

Oil Holds Loss as Trade Negotiations Intensify Before Deadline ...
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 07:48 WIB

Oil was little changed after two modest declines as talks between the US and its trading partners gain urgency ahead of next week's deadline. West Texas Intermediate traded near $67 a barrel after cl...

Oil Prices Slide As EU Sanctions On Russia Appear To Have Little Impact ...
Tuesday, 22 July 2025 03:22 WIB

Oil prices weakened slightly on Monday as the latest European sanctions on Russian oil are expected to have a minimal impact on supply, but losses were offset by investors weighing the potential for a...

Oil Slips With US Trade Talks, EU Curbs on Russia in Focus...
Monday, 21 July 2025 21:53 WIB

Oil nudged lower following its first weekly drop this month, with traders focused on US tariff talks and the European Union's efforts to curb Russian energy exports.  West Texas Intermediat...

Oil prices edge down on expected minimal sanctions impact...
Monday, 21 July 2025 17:38 WIB

Oil prices dipped slightly on Monday, with the latest European sanctions on Russian oil expected to have minimal impact on supplies while U.S. tariffs ensure demand concerns remain. Brent crude futur...

LATEST NEWS
Silver Falls Slightly, Still Shining Near Peak

Silver prices (XAG/USD) weakened slightly, approaching $38.80 at the start of the European trading session on Tuesday (July 22nd). However, the precious metal remains near its decade-high of around $39.00. The outlook for the precious metal remains...

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD ticks down to near $38.80, stays close to multi-decadal highs

Silver price (XAG/USD) edges lower to near $38.80 during the early European session on Tuesday. Still, the white metal is close to its decadal high around $39.00. The outlook of the white metal remains bullish on upbeat demand for safe-haven assets...

Gold at over one-month high as weak dollar, bond yields lift appeal

Gold prices climbed on Tuesday to their highest level in more than a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields, as investors looked for progress in trade talks ahead of an August 1 deadline. Spot gold was little changed at...

POPULAR NEWS
Asia markets trade mixed as investors assess trade developments, await China benchmark rates
Monday, 21 July 2025 07:45 WIB

Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Monday, as investors keep a close watch on the People's Bank of China's decision on its 1-year and 5-year loan...

European Stocks Cautious
Monday, 21 July 2025 14:47 WIB

European stocks opened the week on a cautious note, with both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 hovering near the flatline as investors closely monitor...

European Stocks Slightly Lower
Monday, 21 July 2025 23:31 WIB

European stocks posted slight declines on Monday (July 21st) as markets continued to assess the trade outlook in the European Union. The Eurozone...

Russia Strikes Ukraine With Drones and Missiles, Killing One
Monday, 21 July 2025 09:45 WIB

Russia unleashed a renewed attack on Ukraine, targeting the country's central and western regions with drone and missiles as Kyiv's allies pledged...